SC Freiburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Tips and Predictions AH GoalWin88

German Bundesliga

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SC Freiburg

FSV Mainz 05

Further Reading

Felix Shaw

SC Freiburg VS FSV Mainz 05 A in - depth and meticulous study of a Bundesliga match, with a precise prediction！ Freiburg has had a mediocre performance this season. They currently have 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, accumulating 13 points and ranking 12th in the league. Despite the low ranking, the team's home - field performance is quite strong. They have remained unbeaten in their last 6 home games (4 wins and 2 draws), including a 2 - 1 victory over St. Pauli. This season, home goals account for 60% of their total goals, indicating a reliable home - field attacking force. In the Europa League last week, they drew 0 - 0 with Viktoria Plzen, which didn't consume much energy. However, they suffered a 2 - 6 heavy defeat to Bayern in a previous league game, exposing problems in their defense. Mainz has had a dismal season, with only 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses, accumulating 6 points and being deep in the relegation zone. They are under huge pressure to avoid relegation. Recently, they

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GER D1 SC Freiburg 4-0 FSV Mainz 05
Rinoandi Won 6/6

1 Principal Over 3 goluri (3+) la Freiburg Mainz Din ce arată sezonul actual + context: Meciurile lui Freiburg în Bundesliga: 3.18 goluri/meci, 80% over 2.5 acasă, medie acasă 3.4 goluri. Meciurile lui Mainz: 2.73 goluri/meci, în deplasare 3.0 goluri/meci, cu 60% over 2.5 și 40% over 3.5 afară. FootyStats xG-uri pe meci: Freiburg ~1.25 for / 1.41 against, Mainz ~1.41 for / 1.55 against deci ambele echipe permit destule ocazii. FootyStats Mainz n-are niciun clean sheet în campionat până acum. FootyStats Absențe Mainz: în afară de lotul deja subțire, Amiri și Kohr sunt suspendați, iar portarul titular Zentner e out cu o leziune musculară, ceea ce slăbește clar faza defensivă. Modelul rezultat (folosind goluri + xG + home/away split + impact absențe) îmi dă cam: λ_home Freiburg 1.7 λ_away Mainz 1.3 λ_total 3.0 Din distribuția pe total goluri iese aproximativ: P(02 goluri) 43% P(exact 3 goluri) 22% P(4+ goluri) 35% Deci pe linia Over 3 (asian): Win (4+ goluri): ~

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GER D1 SC Freiburg 4-0 FSV Mainz 05
Rinoandi Won 6/6

Din ce arată sezonul actual + context: Meciurile lui Freiburg în Bundesliga: 3.18 goluri/meci, 80% over 2.5 acasă, medie acasă 3.4 goluri. Meciurile lui Mainz: 2.73 goluri/meci, în deplasare 3.0 goluri/meci, cu 60% over 2.5 și 40% over 3.5 afară. FootyStats xG-uri pe meci: Freiburg ~1.25 for / 1.41 against, Mainz ~1.41 for / 1.55 against deci ambele echipe permit destule ocazii. FootyStats Mainz n-are niciun clean sheet în campionat până acum. FootyStats Absențe Mainz: în afară de lotul deja subțire, Amiri și Kohr sunt suspendați, iar portarul titular Zentner e out cu o leziune musculară, ceea ce slăbește clar faza defensivă. Modelul rezultat (folosind goluri + xG + home/away split + impact absențe) îmi dă cam: λ_home Freiburg 1.7 λ_away Mainz 1.3 λ_total 3.0

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GER D1 SC Freiburg 4-0 FSV Mainz 05

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SC Freiburg VS FSV Mainz 05