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    Soccer> Community> BET ENSURED>

    Panathinaikos VS FC Viktoria Plzen

    UEFA Europa League
    Analysis
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    FC Viktoria Plzen
    FC Viktoria Plzen
    Further Reading
    • Billy Momo
      Billy Momo Won 8/13
      Panathinaikos VS FC Viktoria Plzen Panathinaikos has won 7, drawn 1, and lost 2 in the last 10 games. A new foreign player has joined the team, and they are in good form. It will surely be a tough battle. Viktoria Plzen has won 5, drawn 3, and lost 2 in the last 10 games. Panathinaikos has a higher - scoring bench. Viktoria Plzen lost their last game. Although their attack performance was decent, they conceded 15 goals in total. In their last encounter, Panathinaikos played well. They are playing at home continuously. Viktoria Plzen has a poor goal - scoring record and concedes many goals. They barely held on to a slim advantage in the last game. Panathinaikos still has an edge. However, their performance in the subsequent playoffs was mediocre. This season, the team's strength and form have declined significantly. So, who will win the game? Suggestion: Pick Viktoria Plzeň with a +0.5 handicap. Score reference: 1-2, 1-1 Panathinaikos has won 7, drawn 1, and lost 2 in their last 10 gam
      AH
      UEFA EL Panathinaikos - FC Viktoria Plzen
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi Won 4/5
      4. Handicap fair Asian line From the expected goals: Panathinaikos xG (model): ~1.50 Viktoria Plzen xG (model): ~1.25 Expected goal difference: Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzen +0.25 goals Using the Poisson for individual teams, approximate 1X2 probabilities come out around: Panathinaikos win: ~43% Draw: ~25% Viktoria Plzen win: ~32% This tells us: Home team is a small favourite, but not dominant. The natural fair Asian handicap line from this edge is: Panathinaikos -0.25 On Panathinaikos -0.25 AH (quarter-ball): Home win: ~43% full win on the bet Draw: ~25% half-stake loss Plzen win: ~32% full loss So the match is priced very close to a 0 / -0.25 zone, not anywhere near -0.75 or -1.0. Handicap conclusion: Fair line: Panathinaikos -0.25 If the market goes to Panathinaikos -0.5, numbers would start to create some value on Plzen +0.5. If the market is at 0 (scratch), you can justify a slight lean towards Panathinaikos, but its not a massive edge.
      AH
      UEFA EL Panathinaikos - FC Viktoria Plzen
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