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    Soccer> Community> Lucky68>

    FC Porto VS Malmo FF

    UEFA Europa League
    Analysis
    FC Porto
    FC Porto
    Malmo FF
    Malmo FF
    Further Reading
    • SuperVip
      SuperVip Won 4/6
      FC Porto VS Malmo FF The Europa League has reached the league stage, and this game is the 6th round of the league. Porto is a title - contender in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. The team has been extremely strong and stable this season. In the domestic league, the team leads the standings with a high winning rate. On the Europa League stage, the team has also shown strong competitiveness. In the first 5 rounds of the league stage, they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, ranking among the top in the group and having the initiative to advance to the knockout stage. I came here in 2014 and have 12 - year experience as a professional advisor. Usually, I offer 1 prediction per day and 2 on weekends. Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals, scorelines 2:1/3:0/3:1 Malmo is a team from the Swedish Super League, but it has encountered great difficulties in this season's Europa League. After 5 group - stage matches, the team has only managed 2 draws and 3 losses, ranking at the bottom of the gro
      O/U
      UEFA EL FC Porto - Malmo FF
    • LDT
      LDT Won 5/6
      FC Porto VS Malmo FF
      AH
      UEFA EL FC Porto - Malmo FF
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi Won 4/5
      1 Over 3 Goals (3+ line) Using the limited (but very one-sided) data: Porto home (2 games): Goals: 30 vs Nice, 21 vs Crvena Zvezda 5 scored, 1 conceded 100% Over 2.5, 100% both teams scoring or keeping a clean sheet at least once, strong SOT and corner profile. Malmö away (2 games): Goals: 03 vs Nottm Forest, 03 vs Viktoria Plzen 0 scored, 6 conceded 0% BTTS, 100% Over 2.5 (against them), 100% 3+ shots on target conceded. A simple Poisson-style model from these numbers gives approximate expected goals: Expected Porto goals: ~2.52.6 Expected Malmö goals: ~0.4 Expected total: ~2.93.0 goals From that distribution for the total goals: Probability of 02 goals: ~44% Probability of exactly 3 goals: ~22% Probability of 4+ goals: ~34% So for the Asian line Over 3.0: Win (4+ goals): ~34% Push (exactly 3 goals): ~22% Loss (02 goals): ~44% Interpretation: The natural / fair goal line is very close to 3.0. If bookmakers set 2.75, the model leans slightly towards the Over, because: You profit (ful
      O/U
      UEFA EL FC Porto - Malmo FF
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