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    Soccer> Community> Leng Leng12>

    FC Porto VS Malmo FF

    UEFA Europa League
    Analysis
    FC Porto
    FC Porto 2
    1 Malmo FF
    Malmo FF
    Further Reading
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi Won 6/7
      1 Over 3 Goals (3+ line) Using the limited (but very one-sided) data: Porto home (2 games): Goals: 30 vs Nice, 21 vs Crvena Zvezda 5 scored, 1 conceded 100% Over 2.5, 100% both teams scoring or keeping a clean sheet at least once, strong SOT and corner profile. Malmö away (2 games): Goals: 03 vs Nottm Forest, 03 vs Viktoria Plzen 0 scored, 6 conceded 0% BTTS, 100% Over 2.5 (against them), 100% 3+ shots on target conceded. A simple Poisson-style model from these numbers gives approximate expected goals: Expected Porto goals: ~2.52.6 Expected Malmö goals: ~0.4 Expected total: ~2.93.0 goals From that distribution for the total goals: Probability of 02 goals: ~44% Probability of exactly 3 goals: ~22% Probability of 4+ goals: ~34% So for the Asian line Over 3.0: Win (4+ goals): ~34% Push (exactly 3 goals): ~22% Loss (02 goals): ~44% Interpretation: The natural / fair goal line is very close to 3.0. If bookmakers set 2.75, the model leans slightly towards the Over, because: You profit (ful
      O/U
      UEFA EL FC Porto 2-1 Malmo FF
    • rozay
      rozay Won 6/6
      FC Porto will seek to consolidate their place among the Europa Leagues top eight when they host a Malmo side languishing near the foot of the standings at the Estadio do Dragao on matchday six. Sergio Conceicao's team have accumulated 10 points from their first five group fixtures and remain particularly imposing on home soil, registering seven clean sheets in 10 matches across all competitions. Malmo, by contrast, have endured a difficult campaign on the continent, earning just a solitary point and scoring only twice while shipping 10 goals. Their limited attacking threat and defensive frailties indicate that overcoming Portos organisation and quality will be a significant challenge.
      O/U
      UEFA EL FC Porto 2-1 Malmo FF
    • FixedWinner
      FixedWinner
      FC Porto VS Malmo FF Yesterday in the AFC Champions League, Shanghai Shenhua with a +1.5 handicap (hit) and the score of 1-0 (hit), we successfully analyzed and broke the cold situation. Did you succeed in making big profits? Today's early and late - night game plans are ready (there are also exclusive benefits for my fans). Click on my profile right away to help you succeed in every aspect. Can Porto continue its strong home - field performance? Porto currently ranks first in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. With excellent recent results, it shows a strong home - field advantage and stable form. Although a few players are out due to injury, its overall strength remains strong. Malmö is in the middle of the Swedish Allsvenskan. Its recent performance has been inconsistent, with mediocre away - game records and a low winning rate. The team also faces the problem of multiple key players being injured, which may affect their performance. The comparison of the two teams' recent forms is obvi
      AH
      UEFA EL FC Porto 2-1 Malmo FF
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