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    Soccer> Community> Rinoandi>

    Dynamo Dresden VS Eintracht Braunschweig

    German Bundesliga 2
    Analysis
    Dynamo Dresden
    Dynamo Dresden 2
    3 Eintracht Braunschweig
    Eintracht Braunschweig
    Further Reading
    • Silas C7
      Silas C7
      Dynamo Dresden VS Eintracht Braunschweig Dresden will host Braunschweig in a crucial match. This game is of great significance to the relegation battle in the 2. Bundesliga. Dresden, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, has accumulated 13 points and is deeply in the relegation zone, sitting in 17th place. Braunschweig, on the other hand, has 14 points and ranks 14th, just one point ahead. Given the close gap on the league table, both sides will surely give their all. Brun瑞克 has an unbeaten record of 1 win and 1 draw in their last 2 games. There has been little interaction between the two teams in the past seven or eight years. In the initial stage of this match, Brunswick received first - level support. Some bookmakers once upgraded it to second - level, but later the odds gradually unified and returned to the first - level. Although both teams are in similar form recently and Brunswick's performance has been fluctuating, the current first - level mid - range odds still show a certa
      AH
      GER D2 Dynamo Dresden 2-3 Eintracht Braunschweig
    • Atticus DC
      Atticus DC
      Dynamo Dresden VS Eintracht Braunschweig Dresden has shown obvious fluctuations in recent form. In the last 10 matches, they've got 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with a win - rate of 40%. The team performs relatively steadily at home, but seems a bit weak when playing away. In terms of attack, Dresden has scored goals in several recent games. However, there are loopholes in their defense, especially vulnerable to counter - attacks when facing mid - table teams. Brunswick is in a rather sluggish phase. They've only won 3 out of the last 10 matches, with a win - rate of less than 30%. Although the team has shown resilience in some games, their overall strength isn't significantly superior to Dresden. Brunswick has strong midfield control, but they tend to make mistakes when facing high - pressure pressing. In this game, Dresden will play at home and should leverage their home - field advantage to boost morale. On the other hand, Braunschweig needs to adjust their tactics to avoid concedi
      AH
      GER D2 Dynamo Dresden 2-3 Eintracht Braunschweig
    • Lucky68
      Lucky68 Won 11/16
      Dynamo Dresden VS Eintracht Braunschweig I'm a well - known expert with a long - standing and stable information source. This is a long - term high - quality product tailored for my followers! Both Dresden (17th) and Braunschweig (14th) are in the relegation zone and under significant points pressure. The home team, Dresden, has shown a slight improvement in recent form (4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in the last 10 games). Their tactics rely on individual breakthroughs and left - wing attacks. However, the absences of attacking midfielders Mentzel and Zickler due to injuries have weakened their creativity, and they need to be vigilant against defensive mistakes. The away team, Braunschweig, is in a slump (3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses). Although they are good at counter - attacks, their finishing ability is poor. The suspension of center - back Frenkt and the serious injury of Jäkel have led to the collapse of their defense, increasing their psychological pressure. Comparing the tact
      O/U
      GER D2 Dynamo Dresden 2-3 Eintracht Braunschweig
    More Recommend
    • 1) Build the two teams home/away xG profiles From your lists: Kazincbarcikai (HOME games) Avg xG for (home attack) = 1.22 Avg xG against (home defence) = 1.52 Paksi (AWAY games) Avg xG for (away attack) = 1.05 Avg xG against (away defence) = 1.56 2) Convert those into expected goals for this match I combine attack vs defence with a geometric mean (standard approach): λ_home = (Kaz home xG_for × Paksi away xG_against) = (1.22 × 1.56) = 1.38 λ_away = (Paksi away xG_for × Kaz home xG_against) = (1.05 × 1.52) = 1.26 So the match is basically 1.38 1.26 (very close). 3) Turn λ into Win/Draw/Lose (Poisson) From Poisson on (1.38, 1.26): Kaz win: 39.74% Draw: 26.10% Paksi win: 34.16% This is the key for handicap. 4) What each handicap line means in W / Push / L AH 0 (PK / DNB) on Kaz Win: 39.74% (Kaz win) Push: 26.10% (draw) Lose: 34.16% (Kaz lose) So PK is very close to balanced, with Kaz a small favourite. Break-even (fair) odds for Kaz 0: = 1 + Lose/Win = 1 + 0.3416/0.3974 = 1.86
      AH
      HUN D1 Kazincbarcika - Paksi SE Honlapja
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