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    Soccer> Community> FranCo LeGend>

    Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07

    German Bundesliga 2
    Analysis
    Karlsruher SC
    Karlsruher SC 0
    4 SC Paderborn 07
    SC Paderborn 07
    Further Reading
    • Leng Leng12
      Leng Leng12
      Karlsruher SC Current Form (as of the 2023/24 season): Karlsruhe has had a relatively inconsistent season. They tend to play a high-energy game, but theyve struggled with defensive stability, which has led to mixed results. Key Strengths: Attacking Play: Karlsruhe generally focuses on fast transitions, utilizing width and quick counter-attacks. SC Paderborn 07 Current Form (as of the 2023/24 season): Paderborn is known for their possession-based and high-pressing style. Their attacking play is sharp, and they often create numerous chances. However, they have struggled in the past with defensive lapses. Key Strengths: Attacking Play: They play fast and direct football, focusing on high pressing and controlling possession.
      O/U
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi Won 7/9
      1) First I build the two expected goal rates (λ) From your last-7 samples: KSC home (7 games): Goals for = 2+2+2+1+2+2+3 = 14 GF_home = 14/7 = 2.00 Goals against = 3+1+3+0+1+0+2 = 10 GA_home = 10/7 = 1.43 Paderborn away (7 games): Goals for = 2+0+1+1+0+0+1 = 5 GF_away = 5/7 = 0.71 Goals against = 1+1+2+2+2+0+1 = 9 GA_away = 9/7 = 1.29 Then I combine attack vs opponent defence using a geometric mean (same logic as your μ = (attack × defence)): λ_home = (GF_home × GA_away) = (2.00 × 1.29) 1.60 λ_away = (GF_away × GA_home) = (0.71 × 1.43) 1.01 +0.5 65 % Why not AH -0.75? For -0.75 you need more 2+ goal wins. Here: P(KSC win by 2+) is only ~27% So -0.75 is too aggressive compared to how often KSC actually covers. Final: Karlsruher SC -0.5 is the correct AH line from your data.
      AH
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
    • Sam Luk
      Sam Luk
      Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07 Both teams are in poor form recently, and the point gap between them is only 6 points. It's quite exaggerated that Paderborn is given a 0.5-goal handicap as the away team in today's odds. Asian odds play on people's psychology. We need to analyze whether this reflects the real preference of the oddsmakers or if they deliberately set high odds to create an illusion that Paderborn can win and mislead the fans. When seeing such odds, we can't subjectively judge which team is more favored. Different people have different thoughts. However, there is some information you need to know. Last week, Karlsruher SC terminated its cooperation with assistant coach Baramovic. Although head coach Eisner said there was no conflict between them, the impact on daily work arrangements and players was rather subtle. Baramovic and Eisner had worked together for 9 years. Pre - match training arrangements and tactical analysis were all handled by this assistant coach. Now, alt
      AH
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
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