Karlsruher SC vs SC Paderborn 07 Tips and Predictions AH Sam Luk

German Bundesliga 2

Analysis

Karlsruher SC

SC Paderborn 07

Further Reading

Rinoandi Won 8/11

1) First I build the two expected goal rates (λ) From your last-7 samples: KSC home (7 games): Goals for = 2+2+2+1+2+2+3 = 14 GF_home = 14/7 = 2.00 Goals against = 3+1+3+0+1+0+2 = 10 GA_home = 10/7 = 1.43 Paderborn away (7 games): Goals for = 2+0+1+1+0+0+1 = 5 GF_away = 5/7 = 0.71 Goals against = 1+1+2+2+2+0+1 = 9 GA_away = 9/7 = 1.29 Then I combine attack vs opponent defence using a geometric mean (same logic as your μ = (attack × defence)): λ_home = (GF_home × GA_away) = (2.00 × 1.29) 1.60 λ_away = (GF_away × GA_home) = (0.71 × 1.43) 1.01 +0.5 65 % Why not AH -0.75? For -0.75 you need more 2+ goal wins. Here: P(KSC win by 2+) is only ~27% So -0.75 is too aggressive compared to how often KSC actually covers. Final: Karlsruher SC -0.5 is the correct AH line from your data.

AH
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
KI BOY 168

Current League Position: Kaiserslautern has been a bit of a historic club that has fluctuated between divisions in recent years, much like Bielefeld. They were relegated to 3. Liga but made a return to the 2. Bundesliga, where they have been striving for stability. Recent Form: Kaiserslautern has shown improvement in recent seasons, with a steady push for promotion back to the Bundesliga. However, their performances can be erratic, with results often swinging between impressive wins and frustrating losses. Key Players: Kenny Prince Redondo: A key attacking player who can be a game-changer on the wing, with speed and dribbling ability. Marcel Correia: A strong defensive presence at the back. Florian Pick: Often provides a creativeCurrent League Position: Kaiserslautern has been a bit of a historic club that has fluctuated between divisions in recent years, much like Bielefeld. They were relegated to 3. Liga but made a return to the 2. Bundesliga, where they have been striving for stabil

O/U
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
Cam bo1 Won 3/4

German Bundesliga 2 · Round 16 13-12-2025 20:00 Saturday____The match between Karlsruher SC and SC Paderborn 07 is an interesting clash in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany's second tier), where both teams have a history of promotion aspirations and competitive spirit. Lets dive into the teams backgrounds and how they match up. Possible Outcome Karlsruher SC will likely look to make it a battle of physicality, trying to dominate in defense and use the home advantage to grind out a win. They might be more focused on denying Paderborn space to counter and try to capitalize on set pieces and individual moments from their key attackers. Paderborn, on the other hand, will likely come out looking to control possession and use their attacking flair to break down Karlsruhes defense. They will be the more dynamic team in terms of offensive play, but their defense can be vulnerable if theyre caught on the break or if they leave gaps for counter-attacks.

O/U
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07

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Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07