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1
RossyGWon 4/4Follow76.9%Win Rate +26.8%ROI 13Tips 1.66Avg Odds -
2
fernando rodriguezWon 9/12Follow70%Win Rate +27.8%ROI 20Tips 1.78Avg Odds -
3
rozayWon 11/14Follow68.8%Win Rate +11.3%ROI 16Tips 1.65Avg Odds -
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Bennyjoe18Won 5/6Follow68.4%Win Rate +15.1%ROI 19Tips 1.69Avg Odds -
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LDTWon 3/4Follow66.7%Win Rate +18.1%ROI 19Tips 1.84Avg Odds -
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OraigoFollow66.7%Win Rate +12.4%ROI 19Tips 1.77Avg Odds
Note: Statistics base on data from last 7 or 30 days
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Further Reading
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Rinoandi Won 8/13For Petrolul vs U Cluj we had λ_total = 2.65 (1.24 + 1.41). Correct O/U line (50/50) O/U 2.5 is the fair total Over 2.5: 49.4% Under 2.5: 50.6% Strict O/U 3.0 (3+) Over 3.0: win 27.5% / push 21.9% / full-loss 50.6% Under 3.0: win 50.6% / push 21.9% / full-loss 27.5% So total goals 𝑇 T is modeled as Poisson(2.65). Asian Total Over 2.0 what it means WIN if T 3 PUSH if T = 2 FULL LOSS if T 1 (0 or 1 goal) Probabilities (from Poisson with μ = 2.65) P(0) = 7.1% P(1) = 18.7% P(2) = 24.8% P(3+) = 49.4% Therefore for Over 2.0 Win (3+): 49.4% Push (exactly 2): 24.8%. Full-loss (01): 25.8%. Fair price for Over 2.0 (break-even odds). So, Over 2.0 is value only if odds are > ~1.52 (before margin). P(0) = 7.1%. P(1) = 18.7%. P(2) = 24.8%. P(3+) = 49.4%.O/U
ROM D1
Petrolul Ploiesti
0-1 Universitaea Cluj
1
ROM D1
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