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    Soccer> Community> Adijuntak888>

    Kisvarda FC VS ZalaegerzsegTE

    Hungary Borsodi Liga
    Analysis
    Kisvarda FC
    Kisvarda FC 3
    3 ZalaegerzsegTE
    ZalaegerzsegTE
    Further Reading
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi
      Kisvarda FC v Zalaegerszeg 1 Over 3.0 goals (Asian line 3.0) From the recent home/away samples: Kisvarda home: 10 scored, 10 conceded in 8 2.50 total goals/game Zalaegerszeg away: 11 scored, 11 conceded in 8 2.75 total goals/game Blending attack/defence, I model roughly: Kisvarda 1.30 xG Zalaegerszeg 1.50 xG Total λ 2.8 goals For the Asian line Over 3.0 this gives approximately: Over 3.0 win (4+ goals): ~31% Stake refunded (exactly 3 goals): ~22% Under 3.0 win (02 goals): ~47% Implied fair odds (no margin): Over 3.0 3.2 Under 3.0 2.1 So by the numbers, the true total is a bit below 3.0 the pressure is slightly on the under side unless market overreacts to ZTEs recent high-scoring games. Over 3.0 win (4+ goals): ~31% Stake refunded (exactly 3 goals): ~22%
      O/U
      HUN D1 Kisvarda FC 3-3 ZalaegerzsegTE
      1
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