Burnley vs Newcastle United Tips and Predictions 1x2 BlackRose

English Premier League

Analysis

Burnley

Newcastle United

Further Reading

Lucky68 Won 5/6

Burnley VS Newcastle United I'm a top influencer with a long - standing and stable stream of valuable information. I've tailored a long - term, high - quality product for my followers！ Newcastle United has a dominant offensive efficiency. This season, their average expected goals (xG) per game is 1.89, ranking among the top three in the Premier League, while Burnley only has 1.23. Newcastle's offensive conversion rate is as high as 18.7%, far exceeding the league average of 14.5%. Their key passing success rate in the attacking third (82%) and cross - passing success rate (34%) are both 12 percentage points higher than their opponents. Driven by the duo of Joelinton and Isak, the team's midfield control rate reaches 58.3%. Their transition attack speed is at a top - level in the league, reaching 0.87 meters per second. The high - intensity running data is even more astonishing. The whole team's average sprint distance per game is 98 kilometers, 11 kilometers more than the home team.

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ENG PR Burnley - Newcastle United
Sam Luk

Burnley VS Newcastle United Burnley has not won a game since the end of October. Under the management of Scott Parker, Burnley suffered seven consecutive defeats throughout November and most of this month. However, after two consecutive draws before this game, the club will be in a more optimistic mood. These two draws have narrowed the gap to 5 points behind 17th - placed Nottingham Forest. Although they currently have only 12 points and still sit 19th in the league. Burnley will be eager to build on their recent progress, but they need to solve their offensive problems to seize the opportunity. Let's analyze whether the data of this game is reasonable. Newcastle has only won one away game this season. Against the backdrop of Burnley's two consecutive draws, the handicap of 0.75 is a fairly reasonable and sufficient figure. With the European average odds below 1.65, there's obvious caution against an away win. As for strength, Burnley drew with Bournemouth, which has had many problems

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ENG PR Burnley - Newcastle United
MANCITY Boy

Burnley VS Newcastle United Burnley is currently in the relegation zone, ranked 19th in the league. They face huge pressure to avoid relegation, and their determination to grab points at home is beyond doubt. The team has been in a slump recently, winning only one of their last ten league games. Although they ended a losing streak with a draw in the last round, their lack of offensive power is a major issue, and their ability to win at home is also limited. Newcastle United is currently in the lower - middle of the table. They are a certain distance from the relegation zone, but their points advantage is not stable, so they also need points. However, the team's recent performance has been inconsistent, and their away record is particularly poor. They have only won one of their nine away games this season, and their away - playing ability is a concern. In terms of historical head - to - head records, Burnley has been at a significant disadvantage against Newcastle United in recent years

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ENG PR Burnley - Newcastle United

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Tactical & Squad Context (2025/26) Forest at home rely on compact structure and quick transitions, but they rarely play at sustained high tempo. Evertons away approach remains pragmatic, focusing on shape, physical duels, and limiting opponent chances. This tactical clash often produces matches with few clear-cut opportunities and heavy midfield battles. Odds Reading & Market Psychology The Home win @2.16 and AH -0/0.5 @1.89 are priced cautiously, reflecting Evertons ability to frustrate. The Under 2.25 @1.85 being clearly favored suggests bookmakers expect a match decided by one goal or ending level. Over 2.25 is priced higher due to lower probability. Value-Based Betting Strategy 1 Main Pick: Under 2.25 Goals Both sides conservative setups reduce scoring potential. 2 Secondary Pick: Everton +0/0.5 (Asian Handicap) Provides protection if Everton draw or win. 3 High-Risk Pick: Correct Score 11 Fits the tactical balance and odds structure. Professional Staking Plan Avoid straight 1X2 Av

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ENG PR Nottingham Forest - Everton
Arsenal are strong home favorites, but the handicap and total markets suggest controlled expectations. Aston Villa are well-organized and rarely collapse heavily, even against top sides. The Asian Handicap -1/1.5 requires Arsenal to win by at least two goals for full profit, which is not guaranteed. The O/U 2.5/3 leaning toward the Under indicates bookmakers expect Arsenal dominance without excessive goal volume.

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ENG PR Arsenal - Aston Villa

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Burnley VS Newcastle United