Georgia vs Ukraine Tips and Predictions O/U Alyana Carter

UEFA Nations League

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Georgia

Ukraine

Further Reading

Femi The Plug

The two sides have taken drastically different paths in their recent competitive runs. The home side Georgia has struggled for consistent outputs lately, with their most recent fixture ending in a narrow 0-1 defeat to Northern Ireland. They did register 9 corner kicks across the full 90 minutes, a stat that proves they carried clear attacking pressure, but they failed to turn any of that dominance into goals. The goalless first half of that game also laid bare their lack of effective, decisive solutions in the final third. Looking at their outings over the past three months, they notched wins over Bahrain and Lithuania, played out 1-1 and 2-2 draws with Romania and Israel respectively, but their overall form has been very uneven with no stable rhythm. By comparison, Ukraine has shown far more steady competitive quality and reliable tactical execution, putting them in a far more solid position heading into this matchup.

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UEFA NL Georgia 0-0 Ukraine

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Predict To Win Won 5/7

Ukraine will be without Oleksandr Nazarenko, who was sent off after receiving two yellow cards during the victory over Hungary, while Maldera confirmed that Anatoliy Trubin will start in goal against Georgia. Georgia and Ukraine have met seven times across various competitions; Ukraine has recorded four wins and Georgia has yet to secure a victory, with the remaining three matches ending in draws. In their two meetings during the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League, Ukraine won 1-0 at home before Georgia held them to a 1-1 draw in Tbilisi. Ukraine opened the competition with a 1-0 victory over Hungary thanks to a Danylo Sikan goal in the 42nd minute. Hungary actually dominated possession and had 17 shots. Coach Andrea Maldera believes his team still has room for improvement despite their victory in Budapest.

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UEFA NL Georgia 0-0 Ukraine
The Touchline | 𝐓

The home side holds a clear edge playing on their own turf this league campaign, recording a 64% home win rate so far. They have stayed unbeaten across their last six home fixtures, notching 4 wins and 2 draws, with their attack averaging more than 2 goals per game to show their formidable offensive firepower. Yet in-depth data digs out hidden critical flaws for the team. Across their latest three matches, they have faced an average of 14.3 opponent shots per game, a 42% surge above their season average. Their high pressing tactic has been repeatedly broken through by opponents' counter-attacks, and their win rate falls to only 33% when they keep possession above 55%, exposing the fatal weakness brought by defensive line rotation. It is also notable that their goal conversion rate against sides that tighten up their backline is merely 28%.

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UEFA NL Georgia 0-0 Ukraine

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Georgia VS Ukraine