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Virginia GlänzerFollow90%Win Rate +58.5%ROI 10Tips 1.89Avg Odds -
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Note: Statistics base on data from last 7 or 30 days
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Germany’s attacking output metrics have been far more impressive than their upcoming opponents’ across recent comparable fixtures.
Their final-third finishing conversion rate hits 18.2%, well above Serbia’s 12.4%, with an expected goals (xG) figure of 1.8 that is 0.6 higher than the latter’s. Their key pass success rate stands at 62% compared to Serbia’s 49%, and their progressive pass value in the final third clocks in at 14.3 against 9.1, clearly demonstrating far stronger attacking organization.
They dominate average possession at 61% to lock down the midfield, and their transition speed after winning back possession only takes 1.8 seconds on average, outperforming Serbia’s 2.4 seconds. The full squad also posts far better physical performance stats, covering a total of 118.3km across the full match and completing 42 high-intensity sprints, versus Serbia’s 97.4km total running distance and just 28 high-intensity sprints.
Further Reading
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Bryon PrinceGermany’s record across their last 10 outings sits at 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, a run that falls well below their usual high standards, with their most notable underlying issue being a lack of squad depth. Serbia, on the other hand, have posted a poor 3 wins and 7 losses from their past 10 matches, with no draws at all in that stretch. Their recent head-to-head clashes have been evenly contested, but we have finished full fundamental analysis of this fixture, no major shifts in market data are expected, and our final pick for this game is already confirmed. Neither side holds a massive overall strength advantage on paper, but Serbia typically run a counter-attack focused system with limited proactive attacking capability, which often leaves them stuck in a passive position. They have failed to win their last two fixtures after a draw in their most recent round, with their points-grabbing momentum clearly slipping. Germany, by contrast, enter this tie with full competitive intent,AH
UEFA NL
Germany
2-0 Serbia
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Julia GropPlagued by frequent recurring injury problems, Germany have registered 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across their last 10 competitive fixtures. Serbia’s recent form is far less impressive, with only 3 wins and 7 losses from their past 10 outings. Their last match saw a noticeable drop in overall competitive output, even though their backline still put on a relatively steady showing. Germany’s earlier underwhelming results were directly caused by the wave of player injuries, and the side has since reworked their squad setup, bringing in multiple high-quality players that have greatly boosted their overall competitiveness. Germany are clearly in better form than Serbia at this stage, and they also hold a dominant historical head-to-head advantage over their opponents. The home side has kept consistent good momentum lately, even if the visiting side edges them out slightly in raw squad strength. It remains to be seen whether Serbia can keep their signature tough, aggressive defensive rO/UUEFA NL
Germany
2-0 Serbia
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Jiayang Wang Won 8/13The German side has been stuck in a prolonged low ebb across their recent run of fixtures. Serbia, whose overall competitiveness sits slightly below Germany's standard, still boasts reliable goal-scoring threat. The current market projections for this game, however, do not match up with both teams' recent attacking and defensive outputs, as well as their historical head-to-head statistics. Neither side has put up solid defensive displays lately, with their average goals conceded even outnumbering their average goals scored. Germany has held a distinct upper hand in all past meetings, dominating the game flow to pin their opponents back for most of those clashes. Though a string of recent player injuries has dragged down Germany's recent form, they still hold a clear edge in overall strength, and are fully capable of claiming three full points from this tie.O/UUEFA NL
Germany
2-0 Serbia
UEFA NL
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