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    Soccer> Community> GoalwireHQ>

    Belarus VS San Marino

    UEFA Nations League
    Analysis More Tips
    Belarus
    Belarus 4
    0 San Marino
    San Marino
    Offensive efficiency gaps between the two sides are far starker than casual pre-match observations suggest. Belarus holds a dominant edge across all core attacking metrics, with an 18.6% finishing conversion rate against San Marino’s mere 9.2%, and their expected goals efficiency stands at 1.8 compared to the opponent’s 0.6. Their key pass success rate hits 62%, and the creative value of their final-third passes is nearly three times higher than San Marino’s 4.1. They also completely outclass their opponents in midfield control: Belarus average 12.4 tackles per match, with a 1.8-second defensive-to-offensive transition speed far quicker than San Marino’s 2.4s. Their total per-game running distance reaches 118km, and they complete 48 high-intensity sprints, more than double San Marino’s 23. While San Marino records decent total numbers in defensive clearances (15) and interception attempts (8), their extremely low tackle efficiency and poor actual interception performance make it almost impossible to contain Belarus’ sustained attacking threats.
    Further Reading
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      Belarus has turned in fairly underwhelming performances in recent competitive fixtures, notching 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across their last 10 official outings. Draws account for the largest share of these results, as the side rarely hits consistent top form, and almost never suffers consecutive heavy collapses. Their home record is noticeably stronger than their away form, as they are well-drilled to operate a tight, compact deep block on familiar turf, with solid central defensive coverage, cautious build-up from the back and no reckless forward pushes. Their midfield prioritizes disruption and interception over unproductive possession, with the front line only looking to carve out opportunities via quick counters. Sitting mid-table in their current Nations League group, they face very little relegation pressure, so their overall match motivation stays at a moderate level. Their most obvious flaw is their poor independent attacking output, as they can barely generate clear scorin
      AH
      UEFA NL Belarus 4-0 San Marino
    • Zerbest
      Zerbest
      Home form has long been a key strength for Belarus on the international competitive stage. Across their last 30 official outings, they have recorded a 30% win rate, 40% draw rate and only 30% loss rate, delivering fairly steady overall performances. Their attack averages 1.2 goals per game, which is not overly sharp, while their defense concedes 1.6 goals on average per fixture, a level that keeps them fully competitive against sides of similar standing. When playing on home soil, their stats show further improvement: they have scored 6 goals and conceded 9 across the tracked sample, with their per-game goal average climbing to 1.5. They hold a 25% win rate and 50% draw rate at home, proving they tend to summon far better fighting spirit in front of local fans. Their defense may have occasional lapses, but the team’s overall tactical structure never collapses easily, giving them a distinct advantage in this clearly mismatched Nations League clash against San Marino. San Marino’s co
      O/U
      UEFA NL Belarus 4-0 San Marino
    • Aquarto
      Aquarto
      San Marino will continue their 2026-27 UEFA Nations League campaign against Belarus on Saturday, hoping to end a long wait for victory. The hosts have endured a difficult opening to League C Group 1, suffering heavy defeats to Finland and Albania while remaining at the bottom of the standings without a point. Belarus have had a more encouraging start, taking one point from their opening two matches after losing 2-0 to Albania and drawing 0-0 with Finland. Viktor Goncharenko’s side will now have two consecutive home fixtures against San Marino and Finland, giving them an opportunity to improve their position in the group. San Marino have struggled for consistency for much of the past two years, winning only twice in their last 19 Nations League matches and losing 16 of their previous 17 games across all competitions. Their most recent victory came against Liechtenstein in November 2024, while their record in the Nations League stands at two wins, three draws and 14 defeats. The team h
      AH
      UEFA NL Belarus 4-0 San Marino
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