Palmeiras vs Bahia Tips and Predictions O/U Eldy Febriansyah

Brazil Serie A

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Palmeiras

Bahia

Further Reading

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Looking at the long-term head-to-head records between the two sides, Palmeiras holds a clear psychological and competitive edge in this fixture. Over 10 official meetings across the past decade, Palmeiras have notched 5 wins, 2 draws and only 3 losses, boasting a win rate above 50%. Most notably, they have remained unbeaten against Bahia even in away fixtures across this stretch. Their dominance has grown far more prominent in recent clashes from 2024 to 2026. They grabbed a 2-1 away victory over Bahia earlier in 2026, and kept an overall upward competitive momentum even after a narrow 0-1 loss to Bahia in 2025. As a long-established powerhouse in Brazil's top flight, Palmeiras are in a very favorable position to put on a solid showing on their home ground. Palmeiras holds a distinct upper hand in all past head-to-head records against Bahia, and their dominance over this fixture has only become more consistent in recent Brazilian Serie A campaigns. Looking at their last 10 meetings acr

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BRA D1 Palmeiras - Bahia
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Sitting just 3 points behind league leaders Flamengo in the Brasileiro Serie A table, second-placed Palmeiras are under massive pressure to pick up maximum points on home soil to close the gap at the top. Across 28 matches this season, they have conceded a mere 21 goals, owning one of the most solid defensive records in the entire Brazilian top flight. Their home dominance is well documented too: from 13 home outings so far, they have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws and only 1 defeat, with recent back-to-back home wins against Vasco da Gama and Sao Paulo further highlighting their strong form on their own turf. The side has recently switched back to a four-man defensive setup, with the double midfield pivot of Marlon Freitas and Lucas Evangelista anchoring the middle of the park, Andreas Pereira taking charge of the left flank, and the attacking line spearheaded by Flaco Lopez and Vitor Roque. That said, they face clear hidden troubles ahead of the tie. Head coach Abel Ferreira is suspended f

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BRA D1 Palmeiras - Bahia
Iqbal ahmad

As a seasoned football analyst with a long proven track record of reliable insights, I have curated premium long-term analysis for dedicated football fans and bettors. Palmeiras holds a clear edge over Bahia across nearly all key performance metrics. Their recent finishing conversion rate stands at 18.3%, far higher than Bahia's 12.1%, with an expected goals (xG) efficiency of 1.24 against Bahia's 0.89. Their midfield organization is far more efficient, posting a 62% success rate on key passes compared to Bahia's 54%, while their high-value forward pass metric hits 1.83 versus the opponent's 1.31, reflecting far better possession quality. The side also boasts superior physical reserves: their average per-player running distance reaches 11.2km, 1.4km more than their rivals, and they complete 27 high-intensity sprints compared to Bahia's 19. On the defensive end, Palmeiras leads in tackles (18 vs 12), interceptions (14 vs 9) and clearances (11 vs 7), with a 68% interception success rate

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BRA D1 Palmeiras - Bahia

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The two sides’ recent form in Brazil’s top flight tells a clear story of contrasting fortunes. Fluminense have shown far more solid competitive performance and reliable tactical execution, while Coritiba have left multiple obvious loopholes in their defensive setup, making this matchup well worth a deep dive. After testing themselves through a packed schedule of multi-front fixtures, Fluminense have fully proven their impressive squad depth and on-the-fly adjustment ability. Their latest run of key Serie A outings has seen them unleash fierce attacking firepower, highlighted by a 3-1 away victory over Corinthians where they went ahead before the half-time break, showcasing their sharp, high-tempo start to matches. Fluminense’s solid home record remains a major strength even after they suffered two disappointing recent defeats, one to Platense in the Copa Libertadores and the other to Atletico Mineiro in the Brazilian top flight. They have notched multiple hard-fought home wins ag

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BRA D1 Fluminense RJ - Coritiba PR
I have observed that the home side has posted a dramatic uptick in defensive performance after navigating a stretch of uneven results. They have remained unbeaten across their last four league outings, and pulled off four consecutive clean sheets in this run. Their backline is extremely well organized, with every player showing top-tier tactical discipline to block opposing attacking moves effectively. This rock-solid defensive record will pose a massive test for their strong visiting contender, one of the most formidable sides in the Colombian top flight, as they travel to fight for points on the road. After a rough patch marked by a 1-4 heavy loss to Junior Barranquilla and a 1-2 defeat to Once Caldas, the home side has fully bounced back, settling into a solid, well-oiled counter-attacking rhythm that makes them a formidable opponent on their home turf. The traditionally strong visiting side Millonarios has also impressed with their recent form, showing great stress resistance and t

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Palmeiras VS Bahia